Why it’s so close, so far

There is virtually no crossing of party lines among likely voters in the race today. Walker is getting 96% of Republicans and 3% of Democrats; Burke is getting 95% of Democrats and 2% of Republicans. Polarization along party lines is about as extreme as it can get.

That helps Burke in one sense: there are more Democratic voters than Republican voters in Wisconsin. And it’s a big reason why the numbers change so little in this contest from month to month: massive blocs of partisan voters on both sides are locked in.

Via Democratic base helping keep Walker-Burke race deadlocked @ JS Wisconsin Voter Blog.

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