DAILY WISCONSIN

Polls

Expecting an Invasion Force of Orcs and Wargs

A recent poll conducted by Public Policy Polling shows that 32 percent of Republican voters believe in the conspiracy theory that President Barack Obama is planning to use a military exercise to invade the state of Texas. For real…. Among Walker’s supporters, 38 percent believe the Texas-Invasion conspiracy theory, with 36 percent of his supporters…

Silver Doesn’t Blame Silver

Well, that’s awfully bland… from Dylan Byers at Politico, who was only processing the raw material Silver gave him. Can I blame Silver? For anything, ever? He cited “a range of factors.” Were they too dull and meaningless to be worth more than the repetition of the conclusion that polls just aren’t that good? Via…

Iowa

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is the top dog with a big early lead in the Iowa Republican Caucus, with a four-way scramble for second place and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in seventh place with 5 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Walker is at 21 percent of likely GOP caucus participants,…

Walker Big in Iowa

PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds Scott Walker well ahead of the rest of the Republican field in Iowa, getting 23% to 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% for Jeb Bush, 10% each for Mike Huckabee and Rand Paul, 8% for Ted Cruz, 7% for Ben Carson, 5% for Chris Christie, and 4% for Rick Perry. Walker…

Dodgy

With these realities in mind, it is magical thinking (or just flat-out bullshit) to believe that the Bucks arena and related arena/entertainment district would be “all gain, no pain,” but that’s how the MMAC portrayed it in this absurd push-poll. Via MMAC tries BS poll to sell magic Bucks Arena @ Jake’s Economic TA Funhouse.

Down Again

Another Wisconsin poll has found Gov. Walker’s approval rating in decline. In the survey of Wisconsin adults by St. Norbert College, Wisconsin Public Radio and Wisconsin Public Television, 41% approve of the governor’s performance and 58% disapprove. Those numbers are similar to Walker’s ratings in a statewide poll of registered voters released last week by…

Feeling of Lagging

Now, 52% see WI lagging behind other states in job creation, 34% say WI at same pace as others, 8% WI doing better than others. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) April 16, 2015

Walker’s polls

But the structure of Walker’s support has been fairly stable in the polls for a few months now, despite his modest name recognition and despite some campaign stumbles. That suggests there is something basic about his political story — a conservative governor who has repeatedly defeated Democrats and labor in a battleground state — that…

BUT HAS HE PEAKED ALREADY?

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is leading the 2016 field with 20 percent of national support, though his support is down 5 percentage points from March. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (17 percent) and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (16 percent) are well within striking distance. Via Six takeaways from Public Policy Polling’s new national GOP poll…

50-41

Johnson hasn’t proven to be very popular during his first term in the Senate. Only 32% of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 40% who disapprove. 28% of voters with no opinion about him also suggests he hasn’t made a terribly strong impression on people over the last 4 years. Meanwhile Feingold is…

No. 1

Walker leads the GOP presidential field with 25%, followed by Ben Carson with 18%, Jeb Bush with 17%, Mike Huckabee with 10%, Chris Christie and Ted Cruz with 5%, Rand Paul with 4%, and Marco Rubio and Rick Perry with 3%. Via Walker leads in one new national poll of GOP voters @ JS All…

Overestimated

Via “The average Senate poll conducted in the final three weeks of this year’s campaign overestimated the Democrat’s performance by 4 percentage points.” @ Althouse.