Same poll shows Biden leading Trump by 10 points among independents. You can't find a modern election result where someone won independents in WI by 10 points, but then only one overall by four. It's silly. https://t.co/ev7PQrwQ3F — Jud Lounsbury (@JudLounsbury) September 9, 2020
Should masks be required in all public places? 69% of WI voters agree, 29% disagree, with big partisan and regional differences. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) August 11, 2020
New Marquette Law School Poll of likely voters in Wisconsin finds Joe Biden supported by 49%, Donald Trump by 44%. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) August 11, 2020
Trump’s handling of coronavirus issues: 44% approve, 52% disapprove. In May, it was 44% approve, 51% disapprove. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) June 24, 2020
Trump’s handling of nationwide protests after death of George Floyd in Minneapolis: 30% approve, 58% disapprove. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) June 24, 2020
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Biden widening his lead over Trump in WI. Results put Biden at 49%, Trump at 41%. In early May, it was Biden 46%, Trump 43%. #mulawpoll — MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) June 24, 2020
Embed from Getty Images
Here's the evidence that the Marquette Poll is garbage. The crosstab on the left is the most recent poll. The one on the right is from last month. Obviously Biden didn't go from beating Trump by 29 points among 18-30 to LOSING to him in a month's time! Absolutely absurd. pic.twitter.com/r9qDjJlIsc — Jud Lounsbury (@JudLounsbury)…
The last presidential election in Wisconsin the conservative / moderate / liberal split was 34/40/25. The latest Marquette Poll 39/34/21. At the most basic level, a poll sample is supposed to mirror to the population it seeks to measure. This does not do that. pic.twitter.com/JsM5BexwCo — Jud Lounsbury (@JudLounsbury) February 27, 2020
Embed from Getty Images
So R+4 (STOP LAUGHING!).
First of all, Gov Walker’s approval rating was newsworthy in that nothing has changed on that front. Still stuck below 40% (38.8%, to be exact), and not significantly different from what we’ve seen this Summer. What is noteworthy in this poll is that Walker’s disapproval comes from every region of the state.
Scott Walker approve-disapprove, Feb 2016 ,
City of Milwaukee 27.7-69.1
Rest of MKE market 44.0-48.5
Madison market 25.1-70.1
GB/Appleton market 45.0-46.6
Rest of Wisconsin 42.0-51.3
A key to Walker’s re-election in November 2014 was that he won decisively in Northeastern Wisconsin, and in much of rural Wisconsin. Which is why it is noteworthy that Walker’s declining approval ratings aren’t just limited to the urban parts of the state, but are dropping throughout Wisconsin, putting him significantly underwater everywhere except the Milwaukee suburbs.
City of Milwaukee 24-68
Rest of MKE Market 52-44
Madison Market 29-67
GB-Appleton Market 37-57
Rest of State 33-62